Saturday, 11 July 2009

I have now moved

This blog has now moved to http://petenordsted.com

Saturday, 4 July 2009

LA Galaxy a lay selection in todays MLS

I have a few value selections for tonights US Major League Soccer.

LA Galaxy v New England

I feel LA Galaxy are more of a 40% chance to win this match than the 52% quoted. I suggest a straight lay of LA Galaxy @ 1.90/1.92. This is my selection for the weekend

Of a lesser note I have the following.

Kansas v Houston

Kansas -0 goals @ 2.13/2.27

Colorado v Chicago

Chicago +0.25 goals @ 1.99/2.12

I will updating readers of some developments beginning early next week.

Basically Trade on Sports will cease to exist and I will be going into partnership with a full time trader and we will be working together on a few projects

Thursday, 2 July 2009

Madrid splash the cash but Barca still Champions League favourites

By Josh Allen

It may only be the start of July but already the 2009/10 Champions League is underway.

Barely a month since Barcelona triumphed in Rome, the first round of qualifying kicked off with Maltese champions Hibernians going down 2-0 at home to FK Mogren. While we are unlikely to see the winner in these early stages, there is nothing to stop you from picking the winner as the early odds take shape.

Taking the tag of favourites are the holders, Barcelona. The Catalans enjoyed a wonderful season last year, winning their domestic league and cup in addition to the Champions League. However at odds of 5.7 it may be wise to steer clear. Unlike their illustrious rivals, Barca have never been great at sustaining success and have only won Europe's premier competition three times compared to Real Madrid's nine. In addition the weight of history is against them, as no team has retained the trophy in its modern incarnation.

Second favourites are the aforementioned Real Madrid, who look better value at 6.4. Returning Real president Florentino Perez has taken it upon himself to build a new and improved team of 'Galacticos', spending nearly £200million in the process. During his first spell in charge, Madrid won the Champions League twice and with the possibility of even more superstars following the likes of Kaka, Ronaldo and Benzema through the Bernabeu doors, their odds are only likely to shorten.

But while it may be the Spanish elite that are grabbing the headlines, it's the English sides that have dominated the competition over the last few years. A Premier League team has reached the final for five successive seasons and in the last two year's, three of the four semi-finalists have been from the country. All four teams figure prominently in the betting, with Chelsea, Manchester United and Liverpool making up the top five favourites. The pick of the bunch look to be Liverpool who have an excellent recent record in the competition and are available at 10.5.

Finally if you fancy picking a dark horse, you could do much worse than back Inter Milan at 12.00. Jose Mourinho has now had a full season to stamp his influence over the Italian giants and if anybody has the management skills to cause an upset in this competition, it's the self proclaimed 'Special One'.

Saturday, 13 June 2009

Value in tonights Major League Soccer

Just before I go off for a couple of weeks there are a few MLS fixtures this evening that I believe offer some reasonable value.

DC United v Chicago

The last 5 head to heads at DC read W1 D2 L2

I believe Chicago offer some value at 3.15 but am going to Lay DC at 2.38

Kansas v New England

New England have a poor away record and I believe Kansas offer the value at 2.28

Seattle v San Jose

I believe Seattles price is a little too short (I make them a 40% chance to win)and am going to side with San Jose on the Handicaps at 2.10 for +0.75 goals

The 2 sides feature in many low scoring games and should Seattle win by the odd goal then you are only risking half of your stake.

Thursday, 11 June 2009

Terry’s Time Up at Richmond

At the halfway stage of the AFL football season it is a good time to assess how the season is shaping up.

What more can you say about Geelong and St Kilda? Both are undefeated and look likely to be contesting the AFL Grand Final. At the other end of the AFL ladder, both Richmond and Melbourne and languishing. Terry Wallace is the first coaching casualty of the year and in truth did lucky to make it this far after the embarrassing losses to Carlton and Melbourne.

AFL betting isn’t sure what to make of everyone else. Every week the AFL fixture has provided some greats games but the AFL results have been consistently inconsistent. Essendon and Collingwood have both had some great wins but they have also had some shocking losses.

Apart from the Western Bulldogs, Brisbane and Carlton none of the other 11 sides look like they have the remotest chance of doing anything in the finals once September comes around.

The same can not be said for the NRL rugby league where just one point separates the top five sides. It is an incredibly even competition and really there are a number of teams which are realistic chance to win. As such, the NRL odds are fluctuating greatly from week to week. Because of the parity in the NRL rugby league, the NRL results are providing some surprises.

Penrith has made a slow and steady climb up the ladder and Cronulla just won successive matches to see it rise from the bottom of the ladder .In their place is the Roosters and Brad Fittler must be firming in NRL betting as the first NRL coach to be sacked in 2009.

Speaking of sacked, Andrew Symonds’ Ashes campaign is over before it even begun. Even though he wasn’t named in the original squad for Ashes 2009, there were some whispers that he would stay on for the Ashes following the Twenty20 World Cup. This would provide some back-up for the inexperienced Australian side should they have had some difficulties coping with the rigors of Ashes cricket.

For around 18 months, Symonds has proved a distraction both on and off the field and the team had enough with his antics. His banishment from the tour could spell the end of his international career. He may continue on as a Twenty20 specialist and could do quite well from that. His style of cricket is well suited to the shortest form of the game.


David Wiseman is a sports journalist and analyst who works for Betfair Australia. He is folling all this summers sports action, and can't wait for the Ashes 2009 to begin.

Wednesday, 10 June 2009

Professional Poker Prop Bets

One of the favorite pasttimes of professional poker players are prop bets. In many live poker games, prop betting is used as a way to alleviate boredom and make some money at the same time. The World Series of Poker is famous for having pros make substantial prop bets related to events or even during games.

One of the more unique prop bets occurred during the early stages of the $10,000 Omaha Hi-Lo World Championship. The bet is whether American President Barack Obama will come to the Main Event of the World Series of Poker and play at least one hand.

For a while, odds were being laid at 50,000:1 and 100,000:1. At least one person took action of 100,000:1 for $1 and another person put up $20 on 25,000:1 action.

Of course, it is unlikely that Obama will make the trek to Las Vegas for the event. However, if he were to make the visit, it may go a long way to garnering support for making online poker legal again.

Trade on Sports newsletter released this weekend

Just a quick update I am now away on holiday until Wednesday 01 July 2009 and so this blog will not be updated until then.

A note for members.

The next edition of the newsletter should be ready for release this Friday evening 12 Jun 2009. You should receive your newsletter no later than midday on Saturday 13 June.

This months newsletter includes a look at various strategies involving the Indian Premier League, the twenty20 cup cricket, the womens French Open Tennis and a look back over the past 2 football seasons and the NBA.

Should anyone wish to trial this newsletter then they can for £5. Payments should be made via Paypal to admin@tradeonsports.co.uk

It should be noted that this is the last time that this newsletter will be available to trial for this price.